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4th July, 2025: Nifty Rebounds Off 10 EMA

Nifty bounces 50+ pts after testing 10 EMA; all sectors trade in green.
Straddle at ₹280; futures premium climbs to ₹88 (vs ₹79).
:point_right: 25,500 CE clocks 1-hr volume above yesterday’s full-day total.

Support at 10 EMA Holds

Nifty traded sideways but held firm near the 10 EMA zone.
Sectoral action was mixed — FMCG outperformed, while IT and Metals remained under pressure.
:pushpin: Watchlist:
:black_medium_small_square:25,450 CE – ₹122 & PE – ₹111

Guarded by Fibonacci

Sensex holds 10 EMA & 23.6% Fibo support — key confluence into expiry.
83400 straddle trades at ₹210 on expiry day.
:pushpin: Watchlist:
:black_small_square: 83400 CE – ₹128 & PE – ₹92

Bounce Back with OI Jump

Nifty rebounded sharply from intraday lows. OI rose 1% in early trade, with futures premium expanding to 102 pts. Strong put writing at 25,500 indicates support in the 25,450–25,500 zone.

:pushpin: Watchlist:
:black_small_square: 25,550 CE – ₹64

Muted Start for Nifty

  • Index slips at open; Nifty futures premium down to 65 pts.
  • Aggressive 25,500 CE writing signals upside resistance.
  • 25,450 straddle at 93 implies a rangebound outlook.

Watch:
:small_blue_diamond: 25,450 CE – ₹38 & PE – ₹55

Tech Trouble Hits Nifty

Nifty slips 0.54% on IT pressure. Heavy call writing at 25,300 caps upside. PCR at 0.62 signals bearish tone.

Key Levels:
:small_blue_diamond: 25,150 PE – ₹85
:small_blue_diamond: 25,300 CE – ₹100